MAJOR SEAPORT CLOSURES
A Prewave Case Study
Strikes across major seaports
Setting the scene for the TKBM cooperative to trigger a nationwide strike was the fact that their workers were not included in running costs of operations, and that the Indonesian government announced they would revoke the joint decree underpinning TKBM’s management.
Shortly after the first social media messages started appearing at grassroots level, Prewave formulated a strike alert without a date. By analysing further data and using machine learning technology, the Prewave engine was able to then consolidate and deliver a risk prediction as a strike alert with a definitive date.
On the 4th December, port workers of TKBM (responsible for loading and unloading of cargo) held a national strike affecting dozens of seaports across Indonesia.
Timeline of Events
First social media messages start appearing regarding TKBM's dissatisfaction of their workers' rights and the future of their cooperative
PRE SIGNAL DETECTION
Headlines are made when local news channels pick up the report and the workers get more exposure for their cause. TKBM officials make a public threat of strike
Prewave detects consistent pre-signals in social media and formulate an alert and risk level. TKBM workers and union members come together and threaten to strike without any date or location. Prewave pickup multiple local language tweets with 70,000 workers purporting to be aligned to strike
Prewave delivers a high risk event prediction of mass strike with a date and location
Local news once again report the situation as it stands
PREDICTION OF RISK EVENT
From Tanjung Priok to Gresik to Tanjung Selor, thousands of workers from the TKBM cooperative go on a mass strike
Mass Strikes across 97 Seaports